When the Republican Party finally got a chance to scrap Obamacare, it acted like a dog that had caught up with the car it was chasing and had no idea what to do next.
The Republican Party could find itself in an equally absurd situation if it gets the post-Roe v. Wade that he’s been chasing, which, due to changes in the Supreme Court lineup and a potentially decisive case on the way, is about to become something of a major issue. more than a politically useful abstract concept.
On Thursday, Republicans were once again spared the consequences of their obsession with repealing Obamacare when the court rejected a challenge to the healthcare law for the third time. But a land without Roe v. Wade seems hideously real, terrifying to the women and men who care about them, of course, but also to the party that seems hell-bent on making it happen. If Roe were to leave, he would expect to squirm in the ranks of the Republican leadership and, quite possibly, a well-deserved pay for pursuing the anti-abortion car so relentlessly over this past half century.
Go back to 2017. Trump was the new president. The Republican Party owned the House and Senate. The party had been fixating for years on the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, and used it as a grind for its anti-Democratic grind mill. Now he could finally repeal and replace the alleged abomination.
You know what happened: Republicans considered the consequences of taking health insurance from millions of Americans. They failed to come up with a serious plan for an Obamacare replacement. They stepped out of line in Congress and, for now, the law still stands.
As with Obamacare in 2017, Americans generally favor the continued availability of legal and therefore safe abortion. The Pew Research Center reports that, relative to 1995, there is virtually no change in the percentage of Americans who say abortion should be legal in all or most cases: 60% in 1995, 59% in 2021.
If Republicans get a chance to ban abortion and do so, they will spark political trouble that could make them mourn the end of Roe.
You break it, you own it, or that would be for the party forced to bear the consequences of criminalizing abortion. No one can say for sure what would happen if abortion were completely illegal in the red states or, eventually, in the United States. Substantially less sex? Doubtful. Do men become more responsible sexually? If only. Are more women putting their babies up for adoption? Maybe.
But history and current trends clearly indicate that many women will do what they think they have to do. Already, a growing number of women with unwanted pregnancies are traveling across state lines to abort if they live in states with shrinking clinics and tough regulations on abortion clinics.
What we can also expect in a post-Roe, post-legal abortion world is more illegal and unsafe abortions and more women dying or suffering permanent injuries as a result. We can expect more abandoned and neglected children, more children growing up in poverty with a poor start to life, more women and abortion practitioners incarcerated. All brought to you by the Republican Party.
Along with these irritating consequences, the dawn of a post-Roe era would more vividly reveal the Republicans’ disregard for women forced into unwanted pregnancies and the children that would result. As conservative thinkers like Ross Douthat have pointed out, the Republican Party, despite promoting pro-family values, shows little inclination to expand social services in ways that would make raising a family more feasible.
Few Republicans have stepped up to support Senator Mitt Romney’s child benefit plan that would make it possible for more women to stay home and care for their children. Child care? It is up to you to find and finance. In the opinion of Tennessee Sen. Marsha Blackburn, universal daycare is for communists.
Then there are the political headaches that would be triggered by the overthrow of Roe: the likely counter-mobilization of liberals and the alienation of many moderates who are suddenly witnessing the painful reality of abortion bans, and stronger pressures in the ranks. Republicans for a total national ban on abortion and other extreme situations. measures.
The Republicans’ incendiary anti-abortion rhetoric could come back to haunt. If abortion constitutes the murder of babies, as anti-aboriginal language insistsExpect emboldened right-wing politicians to push for more legislation that appears to have been ripped from the scripts of The Handmaid’s Tale. Abortion bans that make no exceptions for victims of rape or incest, a hallmark of Mississippi law heading to high court this fall. Bills like one recently advanced in Pennsylvania that target not just abortions but miscarriages as well, categorizing miscarriages as deaths and requiring health facilities to submit death certificates and obtain burial permits. As if the expectant mother is no longer suffering enough, now this extra burden, served up with a sinister hint about her miscarriage.
The electoral consequences of such legislative negligence would not be pleasant for the Republican Party. Don’t be surprised if more than a few word warriors against abortion do what the demonizers of Obamacare did and walk away from the real action if the Supreme Court clears the way to a crackdown on abortion. They will discover that saving babies is not as simple and exciting in reality as it is in the rhetorical world.